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By William E. Leuchtenburg

Leuchtenburg makes a speciality of fresh advancements within the American two-party procedure, as understood from analyses of its previous.

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He has also held senior fellowships in the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences at Stanford, the Inter­University Consortium for Political Research, Ann Arbor, Michigan, the National Endowment for the Humanities, the Guggenheim Foundation, the National Humanities Center, the Mellon Foundation, and the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Affairs.  Roosevelt and the New Deal, 1932–1940 (1963; winner of the Bancroft Prize and the Francis Parkman Prize; translated into Italian and Japanese); New Deal and Global War (1964); The Great Age of Change (1964); A Trouble Feast (1973); War and Social Change in Twentieth Century America (1977); and In the Shadow of FDR: From Harry Truman to Ronald Reagan (1983).

Here at long last, surely, was the long­awaited Republican realignment.  But his victory threw cold water on the claims of the Republicans to be the architects of a new political era. " The 1984 returns confirmed what has been growingly evident for some time: in almost every respect the Democratic Coalition has been disintegrating.  In 1984 Reagan captured two­thirds of the ballots of white males in the country at large, including even a majority of white men making less than $5000 a year.  And in the 1984 campaign there were further signs of the fraying of ethnic support, with Jews angered by Jesse Jackson's anti­Semitic remarks and associations, and Catholics increasingly militant about abortion.

In the end, they may be less likely to switch parties than to refuse to identify with any party.  It seems more likely that the decline of party identification means that we are in a period when political Page 38 contests will be much more volatile than they have been in the past; when the emergence of new personalities may shift the allegiance of the public from party to party in rapid order; and when the hand of History will rest more gently on the electorate than it ever has before.  Broder's 1972 volume whose title says it all: The Party's Over.

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